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Madrid

The South Caucasus under geopolitical rehabilitation. What is the most favorable version for Armenia? "Fact"

The "Fact" daily writes:

As a result of actively geopolitical reschedulations, the picture in the South Caucasus will be clear in the near future that the impact of this region will appear under the influence of this region.

Although it is already clear that it is already clear that the existing status quo has been violated. If in the past the region was under Russia's influence, then Turkey's influence has become stronger after the Artsakh war.

And if we continue, all our region can be under Turkish influence one day.

And for that, there are all the necessary conditions, but in order to make his pan-Turkic plans a whole reality, the issue of Armenia's corridor through Armenia, or rather obstacles, customs and other control processes, can contact Azerbaijan.

In that case, Turkey can supply such weapons to Azerbaijan as much as it wants to expand its influence and military weight in the future.

Of course, it is important for Armenia to normalize relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey, but it should not be at the expense of our positions within the framework of losing and concessions. After all, the Armenian authorities, with their losing and the Turkish-Azerbaijani requirements, create grounds for the formation of our statehood.

And it doesn't have to be a fast process. As a result of years, even decades, the foundations of Armenia's disagreement can be established. Is it accidental that Azerbaijan demands that so-called "Western Azeris" "return" to Armenia?

In this way, fewer attempts will be attempted to increase the Azerbaijani and Turkish presence in Armenia and promote the emigration of Armenians, and in the future their votes will become decisive.

In other words, connecting hopes for Turkey to Armenia is fully meaningless.

It is Turkey who is interested in getting gas and other raw materials from Russia. On the other hand, when cheap Turkish products are our market, Armenian producers, especially in the field of agriculture, will face big problems.

In some directions of the economy, there may be a collapse of Turkish capital in Armenia. Another version of regional developments is deepening cooperation with Russia and strengthening Russian influence.

Without it, Armenia is connected with many integration pipes with Russia. Russia must take into account that if Turkey and Azerbaijan received priority in Armenia, Russia will face serious problems not only in its territory, in the North Caucasus, where they can intensify the softening and terrorist groups.

Meeting relations with Russia is the best option for Armenia, especially when the Russian side has the problem of restoring an image after the Artsakh war in Armenia.

First of all, Russia's positive image is still maintained in public moods, 32% of citizens connect the solution of socio-economic problems with Russia, on the other hand, the historic past and civilizational values, including especially Christianity.

On the other hand, if Russia closes Turkey through Armenia, it becomes possible to resolve Azerbaijan's issues and to restore its own influence in the South Caucasus.

The other major power that has an impact in our region is Europe, but today the EU is facing very serious internal and external problems, the disagreements over some issues are deepening.

In this case, it is difficult to imagine that the EU will be able to spread its influence in the South Caucasus, Georgia and Armenia. It is true that Armenia has no problem with the EU, which is why there are also a positive attitude towards Europe, but the EU is not present in our region as a geopolitical center.

Undoubtedly, it is very positive that our cooperation with France is unable to have a practical presence in Armenia, except for creating a field of influence.

It is unlikely that our entire region is influenced by Iran, but Tehran's main problem remains to resist the Turkish influence in the South Caucasus, as the development of separatist aspirations between the Turkic-speaking population of the southern Azerbaijan can be accelerated.

That's why Iran is opposed to the so-called "Zangezur corridor", at the same time it is not against the Russian presence in Armenia, as it also prevents Turkish penetration of the region.

On the other hand, Iran has a lot of opportunities to change the situation in Azerbaijan and throw it under its influence. That is why the religious factor is necessary, as the majority of Azerbaijan's population is Shiite Muslims, so Iran can spread the Islamic revolution on Azerbaijan and change the change of government.

It is no coincidence that Aliyev's administration regularly embarks on the arrest of Shiite Religious. And the foreign forces attach importance to this circumstance, that's why Azerbaijan is considering an anti-Iranian platform to support Iran.

And it is within that framework that the West closes a blind eye to the crimes and human rights violations of Azerbaijan.

Arsen Sahakyan

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