The "Fact" daily writes:
The conversations about the change of the world and the world order received new impetus from the Putin-Trump telephone conversation and was after the Russian-American talks in Riyadh.
Political scientist Ara Poghosyan says, especially since 2020, it became clear that the world has entered a practical stage of changes. "Until 2020 The world was held ahead of these changes, the process of forming ideological, conceptual, doctrinal changes took place, after which it entered a practical and applied stage.
A situation between the countries and the Western coalition cooperating with the Russian Federation was formed when the clash gradually became inevitable.
In addition, one of the real actors of the Western Coalition, if not the most important, the United States, clashed not only to share the world with Russia, but another force became stronger than that clash.
From 2018-2019, the United States began to say that Russia is not so much threatening for themselves as many Chinese growing power.
At the end of his previous period, Trump spoke that Russia should make a choice in the case of possible US-Chinese clashes, "Poghosyan told the fact.
He emphasizes, it was obvious that Trump, returning to power, will be able to transforms certain transformations. "See a doctrinal change.
If before 2024 The end of the United States was fundamental for the United States and keeping Russia creeping in self-destructive self-destruction, then the problems are reorganized.
Now the priority is not to make Russia bloody through the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but to direct those resources much more efficient places. For the United States, a strategic need is to suppress the growing Chinese power.
Earlier, I used to say that the United States will never put a problem with Russia's division, division or destruction, many opposed this idea and that it is, Russia will collapse.
But it is a strategic task for the United States to keep Russia. Russia's economic, technological capacity cannot compete with American power, while the Chinese capacity not only reached, but also begins to exceed the power of the United States technological and human potential, the huge production reserves.
It will be quite difficult for everyone to resist this United States.
This is one of the reasons why we see the transformable Russian-American relations. I think Russia's and US relations can even have more new changes.
Naturally, we cannot say that the meeting in Saudi Arabia has solved problems, but at least he gave the opportunity to solve problems, "said our interlocutor. What will be the impact of these changes on our region?
"The South Caucasus is one of the most sensitive points in the world, about almost all known American theorists have spoken.
This is not accidental because the role of the South Caucasus is both resourceful and its geographical location to the Middle Asia Road and is important in terms of communication, logistics, strategic protection, security zones.
This is a region, such as the Middle East, where various interests and opportunities are cut down. Their combination is that from time to time to time, it becomes an occasion for disputes, the purpose of the region's division or in full.
Many talk about the future status of the three South Caucasus republics. The South Caucasus is not fragmented, but in its whole, because its potential is in full and not separately. The processes that began in 2018, and the subsequent events were largely related to forming a new whole in the South Caucasus.
From time to time, we listen to theses that the three South Caucasus republics must form a co-operation platform.
If we return the previous century, when the Russian troops left the South Caucasus after the Russian Revolution, it was preceded by the establishment of a common confederation, then it was not accidental.
Even in that situation, the South Caucasus was interesting in its whole, its fragmentation weakened its influence on global changes and interests. Now there is an attempt to give the South Caucasus to this or that geopolitical center for such concessions.
Until 2020, the war unleashed by Azerbaijan was obvious that the three republics in the South Caucasus adopted three different ways.
Time shows that gradually the foreign policy or directions of these three republics begin to take a certain way to get closer.
We see a certain transition to Russia's impact on Azerbaijan, balancing this by other factors or at least showing that transition. In the case of Armenia, traditional relations with Russia are trying to balance relations with the West, to which it is a doctrinal, it is the other side of the issue.
We are talking about the policy pursued by the authorities at the same time. In the case of Georgia, which formed a purely pro-western foreign policy, we also see a certain balance with Russia, Russia.
These are not random events, external factors, or, as we note during the analysis, the external variables in interactions change in foreign policy policies.
I think that this is the next, not only global, other regional changes to form a certain entity in the South Caucasus.
Naturally, various geopolitical poles and centers will be interactions, which can be counteracted or balanced the internal atmosphere in the South Caucasus, "he said. , can be a deterrent mechanism for Azerbaijan, which does not hide its wishes to solve military means by military means.
"Here we should keep in mind that first of all the interests of the superpowers are balanced or counterbalanced each other in the region.
Depending on it, there is a consensus against the Republic of Armenia or not, or at least there is loyalty or not. I think about what lawsuit will be confirmed in the world, it is not so important, especially in the conditions of new realities, how important it is to balance in the region.
If there is a balance of power in the region, then we can talk about the fact that the enemy states will refrain from actions that will lead not only to Armenia but for themselves.
If there is no power balance or not to establish a military and political balance in the region, we provide an opportunity not to impose certain requirements, behavior, politics by using force.
This will be the case of force and the threat of force, contradict the view, as some people say, will be established by new law, and the enemy states will be restrained, "Ara Poghosyan concludes.
Lusine Arakelyan
