The "Fact" daily writes:
"After the election of the US-Russia war, I have a new, forecast, a more hot phase.
If the victory of Russia during Biden was in a straightforward line, the victory was slightly distracted for a while, but it is still coming to return, "Hayk Ayvazyan, head of the" Luys "information-analytical center.
He emphasizes when Trump says he will stop the Russian-Ukrainian war, there is a little fraud. "The war between Russia and Ukraine is not between Russia and the United States in Ukraine.
If he wants to stop the war, military aid must stop Ukraine. The same should be forced to do to Europe.
And during the few days, the war will stop. A few months ago, Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said that achieving the goals of a special military operation could lead to a strategic defeat of the United States.
Reaching the goals of Russia's special military operation can be a strategic defeat for the United States, and that it will not have a strategic defeat for Russia, "he said.
"Negotiations on the settlement of war in Ukraine are not going on. Negotiations on improving relations between the two countries are underway.
The Russian President recently noted that he had talked about Ukraine during a telephone conversation with Trump and Saudi Arabia. But, in fact, negotiations are not going on. If they negotiate, they must agree on something.
The Russian President spoke about the minimum during the speech at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs last summer, which is the elimination of the initial causes of the conflict, which is related to NATO's expansion, and the protection of Russian-language protection, Ukraine and a limited number of armed forces.
This is a whole package. Trump's goal is to quickly stop the war without solving issues of important importance.
Stoping fast means a temporary break before a greater bloody war. We see statements where Trump says that Europe must be held accountable for Ukraine, it wants Europe to increase the help, that is, as a party to the conflict, but the conflict continues.
I think all this will lead to the fact that they will not agree, the conflict will come into a new stage, it will become tougher, they will return to what happened during Biden.
After that, not agreeing with them and the escalation of rhetoric and conflict will affect everyone, including our region, "says our interlocutor.
In this context, Azerbaijan seems to be in anticipation condition, trying to understand what will happen. According to Ayvazyan, according to Ayvazyan on the verge of present changes and challenges, they are all waiting. "Manuses are being carried out by the United States and Russia.
I am not so inclined to him that Ali wants war, because he or she wants to war without war. Why war? The war always has an element of unpredictability, and if you suddenly did not go to hostilities.
In this case, the foreign countries can motivate Aliyev to war. In the case of a crashed plane, when Aliyev, not waiting for the results of the official investigation, he began to blame Russia at once, I think he was "against the wall" and said.
At the end of this, it will be the fact that the three-talked troop agreement will be finally thrown in the trash. Only on this basis can the parties sit at the table, talk to various issues, including the return of prisoners of war.
The fact that another country did not offer any other alternative document, where the two countries would sit down at the table, and the third party would guarantee that these talks will proceed.
We would also say that at least on the basis of this document, it is possible to talk about the return of refugees left by the prisoners.
I claim, the announcement of November 9 is the best post-war document, which is more or less serving Armenia's interests.
As the relations between Russia and Azerbaijan are now being aggravated, the possibility of returning to the statement.
External players will do their best to be canceled because the Russian mediation in the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict is being canceled with it.
Based on what, then, Russia must act as a mediator. If the document was revoked, it may be motivated by Aliyev to war, especially if it becomes clear that the United States and Russia are unable to agree on key issues.
I can't imagine that the United States will agree on the conditions that Russia offers and vice versa.
Trump says we have to discuss and may let Russia return some territories, and I will not return to my constitution.
If the main issues are not agreed, the point blows will intensify to Russia. The point blows will be in the form of some processes against Russia in some regions.
In the coming months, there will be a wait status, perhaps it is good for us that we will benefit a little time, but I think they will return to the point where the process will start again. In order for Russia to live with a population of 140 million, it must have a flight growth.
And Russia cannot ensure flight growth, unless itself self-sufficient global power center, equivalent to the United States. He cannot exist with subject status.
And the United States does not agree with it, he does not want to give his sole power to the world, "he said.
The impression is that Armenia is an observer in case of all issues related to itself. Issues related to our country are discussed without us, the government of our country is silent in issues related to prisoners of war and hostages. Does Armenia find it in a situation that cannot affect the processes?
"The Karabakh issue was a card in Armenia's hand. At what end of the world did the Karabakh conflict discuss in the world?
They came and asked Armenia, what is your opinion on this or that issue? Let's conventionally say before the war had 50% "Share" Armenia, 50% "Share", Azerbaijan.
After the war, they could be lost to Armenia at all. But Russia used its reputation and strength and forced Aliyev to sign a document where Artsakh was not recognized as part of Azerbaijan. That question was not closed.
Russia left Russia for a small percentage of "shares" on November 9.
Staying through it, we could have cling to Azerbaijan from this document. In doing so, we would keep "shares" what happened, we would like to make the points of the November 9 document and the right to change something. Maria Zakharova is asked about the captives, responds to the trilateral agreement, let's discuss it there.
This document allows you to start and achieve a place based on it. But if there is no paper, who will sit without paper and commit to you? Armenia has lost its "shares" to influence the processes in the South Caucasus.
Its place is given us to allegedly because we are a democratic state, it is our card. Let a big poster on the border, they will write democracy on the tent, and the Turks will see, fear it or not.
I have repeatedly claimed that the political field of Armenia should unite around this and will put forward major public pressure so that the authorities return to the November 9 format. But the chances are getting smaller, now who looks at this topic, it has passed a tertiary, a tenth plan, "Hayk Ayvazyan concluded.
Lusine Arakelyan
