"It was reported yesterday that the head of the Russian intelligence was visited in Baku, which had meet with Azerbaijani special services. It is noteworthy that the original subject of Naryshkin's visit is Afghanistan, at least by judging by the Russian side, "said Hakob Badalyan, a political analyst.
He mentions:
"Afghanistan is an important topic, one of the most important geopolitical zones, which is also known as the" Ceming Cemetery ", since the British failed, the USSR has failed, the Americans have failed.
But of course, it continues to be one of the key geopolitical targets. What does Moscow have expected from Baku? Do the Russians expect Azerbaijan to be "closed" Central Asia's goal, Caspian? Naryshkin stated in Baku that special Western services are trying to provoke anti-government sentiments in Afghanistan.
Of course, the problem is not only Afghanistan. There will be no vision there in the whole central Asia of instability or its very large risks. Of course, this is a serious challenge for Russia. That is why Moscow is trying to reach so-called agreements with the Taliban. The Taliban is in fact out of the list of terrorist groups, the delegation of the Taliban has been in Moscow several times.
What else can Moscow expect from Baku? Of course, another matter is here. And what Kunkal Baku is in exchange for such a service to Russia?
But it is possible that Moscow will raise the issue in other ways to Azerbaijan otherwise, or hinting that "keeping the gates" can have consequences. On the other hand, it is important for Russia, when it will be occupied by central Asia and Afghanistan, there will have no contradictions in the Caucasus. It may also be expected from Azerbaijan.
Taking into account the fact that the US-Russian process can be a source of self-confidence in Moscow, it is not ruled out that Russia is able to put forward issues before Baku.
By the way, are these circumstances allowed by the Prime Minister of Armenia Pashinyan to declare that "forget about the escalation and war?" Of course, it is difficult to say, but at least the slow tendencies of the transformation of the situation in the region in the region are quite noticeable.
Nothing is irreversible or unstoppable of course, but the trends are noticeable. At the same time, they cannot be the basis of exaggerated or unnecessary expectations that this transformation can make it possible to return certain losses in Armenia. Under no circumstances should the scalence consider the scales of reality and appear in that "array of self-deception". No "racurs" of self-deception is helpful.
But, of course, it is possible to transform the logic of the environment around Armenia, which can have the impact on internal developments and the logic of internal social and political relations. "
